Real Wx Services: Severe Weather Outlook May 26th 2012

Severe Weather Outlook May 26th 2012
Temperatures in the 70s to 90s
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_TMPF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png
DEW POINTS in the 60s to 70 range
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_DPTF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png
CAPE or INSTABILITY 500-4000 depending on where you are located..
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_CAPE_SURFACE.png
LIFT INDEX is 0 to negative 14 depending on where you are located..
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_PLI_30_0_MB_ABOVE_GROUND.png
EHI is as high as 3.0 or above
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_EHI_1000_M.png
HELICITY from about 200 to as high as 450-500
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_HLCY_1000_M_ABOVE_GROUND_0_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png
SHEAR is as much as 40 to 60 knots...
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/26/00/NAM_221_2012052600_F24_SHRM_500_MB.png
At the surface
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Stationary front is draped across the middle of the country which turns to a cold front in the Northeast region.. This front will be the focus of severe weather potential.
Tornado potential will be where the EHI is above 1 this will be Kansas, Nebraska,Eastern and Southern South Dakota, Southern Minnesota, Iowa , Northern Illinois, Southwestern Wisconsin, Northern Missouri.. With the EHI that high we are going to issue a 10% chance of tornadic activity in that region..
Outside of the above mentioned area will be the potential for Damaging Winds and Hail..

Down to Earth Forecasting-What's The Difference?

Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

Down to Earth Forecasting History & Team!

Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

Down To Earth Forecasting will issue special weather statements when conditions and time permit for all types of weather from winter weather to summer weather and you will find that when we issue a statement it is always in ADVANCE of the NWS. This is something that we take pride in! Getting the word to our readers first and promptly.

Down To Earth Forecasting consists of Kevin Quigley & Rick Boucher & Creator and owner Matt Strouse. These three individuals make up Down To Earth Forecasting and one day will be a household name

Saturday, May 26, 2012

Severe Weather Outlook May 26th 2012

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