Just a brief look at some of the latest guidance…
18 Z NAM
12 Z UKMET
12 Z Nogaps
12 Z NAM
12 Z GGEM
Images from the ECM for this hour are not available other then pay site but it is in agreement on location with the rest of the guidance above.
The only model that is way different is the 12 Z GFS
This model has been discarded for this finalized map
Snow may have a difficult time sticking at first..especially in locales like KNYC where it will probably be a snow on grass and trees event… Once day time heating has passed then it will have a much better chance of accumulating on the roadways.
Highest totals will be in highest elevations.
The one thing we are going to keep an eye on is a convective element to the precipitation with severe weather possible over the western half of the state ..if this moves in to the eastern regions where the colder air is then we could be looking at heavier precipitation rates then suggested by guidance.
Stay tuned for the latest on this system
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