When looking at the guidance above ..the GFS & ECM are both in agreement on after this cooler period we are going to return to a hot and humid period of weather. Of course at this time range we are talking about the longer range and if the ECM is correct the heat will return as soon as 168 hrs out or next sunday! If the GFS is correct we are going to be waiting until next tuesday –wednesday.
They both agree on moving a ridge into the eastern part of the USA. Obviously this is something in the medium to long range , so the timing could change.
However, I want to issue a word of caution ..IF this heat ridge does build into the area & the east and south and central areas get locked into this heat ridge for any length of time…if a strong cold front moves across from west to east we could be looking at a severe weather outbreak sometime in the future.
For the immediate future it looks like over the next 5 days we could be going into a cooler and wetter period. This should mean areas in the east/northeast should have a break in severe weather as the focus would be more in the way of rainfall. We will probably post an update on this rain potential sometime in the next 24 hrs!
So, in summary, get ready for the heat after the rain moves out!
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