Hurricane Earl in the morning hours has obtained Major Hurricane Status. One of the two possible things mentioned last night in reference to future development was its interaction with the islands. Whether or not it would have its inner core travel over the islands. This did not occur…However..the islands did and are continuing to experience rough weather from Hurricane Earl.
Earl is currently heading in a WNW to NW direction. This lines up perfectly well with the steering currents that are in place.
Convergence and Divergence continue to be extremely well with this system and outflow has improved in all quadrants. Shear continues to be rather light at 10 knots as of 15 Z..however the southern side of the system is under 20 knots.
The question still remains as to whether or not the dry air heading South towards Earl will have any weakening effect.
Of course that answer will not be known until Earl starts heading more towards that area. So for now will continue to have Earl maintain or slowly increase in strength perhaps becoming a Category 4 in the near future.
I see no reason to deviate from the analysis of last night as far as tracking of this system is concerned..
Stay tuned for further updates thru out the day!
No comments:
Post a Comment