Real Wx Services: August 15th Severe Weather Outlook

August 15th Severe Weather Outlook .. Temperatures in the severe zone will be anywhere from the 80s to the 90s .. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F18_TMPF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png.. Dew Points will be 60 to 70 depending on where you live..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F18_DPTF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png .. Convective Available Potential Energy will be anywhere from 500 to about 4000 depending on where you are located.. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F24_CAPE_SURFACE.png .. Lift Index will be anywhere from 0 to negative 8 depending on where you are located .. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F24_PLI_30_0_MB_ABOVE_GROUND.png .. SHEAR will be anywhere from 25 knots to 50 knots with the greatest over the Midwest area .. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F24_SHRM_500_MB.png .. Its also in the above mentioned area where the Helicity is on the higher side of 300 + .. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F24_HLCY_3000_M_ABOVE_GROUND_0_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png EHI is also above 1 in some of those same locales.. http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/08/15/00/NAM_221_2012081500_F21_EHI_3000_M.png ..with this in place with the Helicity we are going to put a 2-5% across the Midwest region in Wisconsin .. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/93fwbgus.gif Triggers will be a cold front that will be along the east coast and a cold front working its way across the Midwest from a Low pressure moving across the southern tier of Canada.

Down to Earth Forecasting-What's The Difference?

Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

Down to Earth Forecasting History & Team!

Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

Down To Earth Forecasting will issue special weather statements when conditions and time permit for all types of weather from winter weather to summer weather and you will find that when we issue a statement it is always in ADVANCE of the NWS. This is something that we take pride in! Getting the word to our readers first and promptly.

Down To Earth Forecasting consists of Kevin Quigley & Rick Boucher & Creator and owner Matt Strouse. These three individuals make up Down To Earth Forecasting and one day will be a household name

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

August 15th Severe Weather Outlook

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