Real Wx Services: September 17th Weather Discussion

Thursday, September 17, 2009

September 17th Weather Discussion

September 17th Weather Discussion

Who ordered the Rain & Dreary Weather?

Well, the answer to that is Mother Nature... Todays weather is essentially going to be a cool and from time to time wet day. Especially from SNE and point southwards. With a stalled cold front to the south of the region and waves of low pressure moving across this front this is going to keep that area under cloudy and wet conditions and very cool temperatures once again...
Temperatures across the region are going to be in the 60-70 range and consider yourself lucky if you reach the 70 degree range.. Autumn has started and we are still a week away..
South of PA temperature will be in the lower 70s...

Sept 16th high temperature at KABE was 66 degrees

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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