Wednesday, November 26, 2008

November 26th Weather Discussion

November 26th Weather Discussion

I apologize to all the readers of this blog but I am only able to update this on a daily basis when I have off from my employment. .

Today is going to continue with the trend of temperatures being below normal. Daytime highs will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s across south central PA into east central PA and the Northern New England coastline...Further inland temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s. Along the southern New England coast into NJ ...lower to mid 40s. South of the PA/MD border mid 40s to around 50. The mountains of WV look like the mid 20s.
Weather wise we should expect mainly cloudy skies however around SE PA look for breaks in those clouds. The rest of PA(north and west of Allentown) into NY look for snowshower to continue from the upper level low across Northern NY...Further north into Northern new england will be rain along the coast to a mix interior and snow to the north of that......

Monday, November 24, 2008

November 24-25th Weather


1-3 inches for the light blue..However this does not take into account the mountains of NY and mountains of PA above 2000 feet. Those locations in NY could get upwards of a foot of snow. The mountains in PA could get upwards of 6 inches...

The pink area will be a mix zone of rain, sleet and snow where a combination could occur at any given time but should change to all snow after 1 AM...

The green is rain where anywhere from .50 to an inch can occur except in NY where those amounts can exceed an inch.....this are of green can end as snowshowers.

Of course the areas that are blank are a no forecast zone

Discussion
So heres what I think is going to occur in eastern PA...

Precipitation should hold off to coming in to around 7 pm or after 7 PM and should start as rain or a mix of rain and snow with maybe some sleet and after midnight, sometime in the early morning this should then change over to all snow....

Currently here in Allentown I am sitting at 38 (now at 12 noon) degrees with a dewpoint of 28 and last nights low was 17 degrees....

The areas that will be the warmest will be from Philly point south and east. North and west of those locations will stay colder then what is forecasted in my opinion.....

Thursday, November 20, 2008

November 20th Weather Discussion

Early Bite Of Pre Winter Continues!

Today is going to be cold! Well below normal temperatures once again today. Cloudy skies will be the rule with scattered snowshowers anywhere from WV northward into NY State. Some areas may pick up a T to a dusting. Of course this is NOT talking about Lake effect areas or the mountains of WV etc.
Temperatures are going to be on the cold side. For majority of the interior region of NY/PA and NW NJ temperatures will be lucky to climb above the lower 30s. Philadelphia may touch the lower 40s , while southern New England is in the upper 30s. The mountains of WV will not make it out of the 20s. Otherwise to the south of the PA/MD border generally looking at temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s.....

Monday, November 17, 2008

November 17th Weather Discussion

November 17th Weather Discussion

Today is going to be a rather interesting weather day and one that I am not completely 100% accurate on how its going to turn out yet. Lets talk about temperatures first because that seems to be an easier part of the forecast for today.
Along the Southern New England coastline and down into NJ and into Eastern Pa temperatures are going to be in the upper 30s to the lower 40s. This is some 10 degrees below normal. Interior regions of PA should also top out in the lower 40s. These are the Max temps that i expect and they may actually fall short. Further West into Western PA temperatures will be in the low to mid 30s. Interior NY will also only make it into the mid 30s. Below the PA/MD border-upper 40s to mid 50s down in the Norfolk area. Mountains of VA, WVA, mid to upper 20s.

Now the temperatures are out of the way this brings us to the weather for the day into the evening. A S/W is currently located over Indiana. This shortwave should continue to move off to the south and the east. The question is does this energy actually cause greater instability then being forecasted? Does this energy possibly create a weak coastal low off the coast around the Delmarva? This is what I do not have the answer to at this point and time.
Nevertheless the region should experience snowshowers from this clipper. Across eastern PA into NJ by late afternoon, early evening and approaching NYC around or shortly after midnight. I am going to try and update this first thing upon awaking before I have to go to work. There are some questions that still need to be answered in regards to the next 24-48 hours.