May 5th Daily Weather Discussion

High temperature for the 4th @ KABE was 77 degrees which was 10 degrees above normal.

Today for the most part is going to be  a partly to mostly sunny day..there maybe some showers up in the state of Maine and some scattered showers along the extreme western portions of NY State ..but that would most be likely in the evening time. By later in the evening showers and thunderstorms will become possible pretty much across the region.

Temperatures will be in the 60s to 70s in Maine and Northern New England to the lower 80s elsewhere.

The above normal temperatures are about to come to an end and there will be a further post on this happening following this days discussion

May 4th Weather Discussion

The high temperature on May 3rd @ KABE was 79 degrees which was once again above normal.

Today’s forecast will consist of a trough moving thru the region which will bring a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms into the region but for the most part it should be a partly sunny day across the region. The best chance of these showers and thunderstorms will be from NY and northwards where there could even be some isolated severe storms.

Temperatures are going to be in the 60s to 70s from Maine SW over the interior regions of the mid atlantic and Northeast and from E MD, Delaware to SE PA to SNE and along the coast in NJ temps will be in the 70s to lower 80s.

May 3rd Daily Weather Discussion

May 2nd High temperature at KABE was 84 degrees. This was another above normal day.

The severe weather never occurred due to there ending up being a lack of a trigger as the cold front is still to the west of the region and has almost become stationary. However..general thunderstorms and rain had occurred. The cold front being slower is also going to mean a pretty warm day today again.

However, there is also going to be a chance of showers and thunderstorms thru the early part of the day and  then skies should clear out but some scattered showers still possible.

Temperatures from the 70s in the western areas to the 80s in the eastern areas.

It should be noted that R.W.S was not alone in the bust on the severe weather as so was the SPC with there slight risk outlook that originally started off as a 30% chance.

Severe Weather Forecast for May 2nd, 2010-Forecast by Carlos!

Guidance used:

• 50% SREF
• 35% NAM
• 15% GFS

An approaching cold front will allow for the lifting and mixing necessary for severe T-storms to develop across most of the region after noon. Severe weather parameters indicate that a Slight Risk of severe convective weather is likely, and therefore, T-storm formation will yield high-topped convection leading to possible supercell T-storms and other variety of weaker and unorganized severe T-storms due to a combination of decent to good Severe Weather Parameters, high Temperatures and moderate Dew Points as well as a moderate trigger, in the from of a Cold Front.

Players:

• Decent to good Severe Weather Parameters
• High Temperatures
• Moderate Dew Points
• FROPA acting as the Trigger

 

Be prepared to take shelter to protect yourself in case a potent and violent severe T-storm is heading your way.

May 2nd Daily Weather Discussion

Record high temperature was set at KABE on May 1st of 88 degrees. This was 22 degrees above normal! And it was a scorcher for the most part across all of the NE and mid atlantic.

Today is going to have more in the way of showers and thunderstorms. A cold front is slowly advancing towards the area and this will act as a trigger with the day time heating and severe weather parameters in place to bring the potential for severe weather! Hail & Damaging winds in excess of 60 MPH and even a few isolated tornadoes will be possible. It will definitely be  a day to keep an eye on the sky.

Skies will be partly sunny to cloudy but temperatures will once again be very warm.

Temperatures in the 70s in Maine ..heading south thru NNE into SNE lower to middle 80s and a few upper 80s. south of there temperatures will be in the mid 80s to lower 90s. So once again it will be hot with the added potential excitement of severe weather!

Real Wx Service members will have their cameras charged and ready if any severe weather occurs in their area!

Real Wx Services Discovers Potential Smoking Gun!

More than 200,000 gallons of oil a day are spewing from the blown-out well at the site of BP's Deepwater Horizon rig, which exploded April 20 and sank two days later..

Unless one lives in hibernation one has to be aware of what is happening in the Gulf Of Mexico. However..is what is occurring an actual accident? Or does it go perhaps deeper then that? Could this have been intentionally done?

Now, this is the opinion of myself, founder of Real Wx Services but I have made an interesting discovery. As weather enthusiasts we all know and realize that Hurricane Season is fast approaching. Matter of fact its only 30 days away.

What if i were to say that what is currently happening in the GOM was discussed as a potential way to control hurricanes? What if it was something that was brought up 20 years prior? Is it just a coincidence that this is happening 30 days before Tropical Season begins or could it be something more along the lines of an attempt by the government to control the weather and to curb hurricane damage?

Now to the discovery:

This can be found by clicking ----> Here 

There was also suggested about 20 years ago (Gray et al. 1976) that the use of carbon black (or soot) might be a good way to modify tropical cyclones. The idea was that one could burn a large quantity of a heavy petroleum to produce vast numbers of carbon black particles that would be released on the edges of the tropical cyclone in the boundary layer. These carbon black aerosols would produce a tremendous heat source simply by absorbing the solar radiation and transferring the heat directly to the atmosphere. This would provide for the initiation of thunderstorm activity outside of the tropical cyclone core and, similarly to STORMFURY, weaken the eyewall convection.

It concludes with:

This suggestion has never been carried out in real-life.

Real Wx Services question is..

Or has it?

Let me know what you think!

May 1st 2010 Daily Weather Discussion

The high temperature on April 30th 2010 at KABE was 78 degrees. This was about 12 degrees above normal.

Today is essentially going to be divided from west to east but one thing both east & west will have in common is that they will be very warm if not hot. Western areas are going to have partly to mostly sunny skies but with the day time heat and approaching cold front you will run into the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms..However, I think that for the most part this is going to hold off until either night time of Sunday. On the eastern side its going to be just mostly sunny skies.

Temperatures today are going to be in the 60s to 70s in Maine and Northern New England to the mid and upper 80s and perhaps some 90 degree readings from SNE and points south!

In other words a gorgeous weather day is on tap for majority of the region.