Storm #1 Dec 1-2nd
Storm # 2
Storm # 1 may be literally too warm verbatim at the surface for an all snow event but at this point details like that are too far into the future to be even concerned about.
Currently the pattern seems favorable for a potential storm across the east coast. We will continue to monitor these two time frames!
Still yet another pro met will be joining R.W.S weather forum this weekend and that Pro Met is Steven Demartino. We are happy to have him come on board to share his weather knowledge and professional insight! There has been a section dedicated to him for his discussions.
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Before the December 5th Potential comes around the latest 12 Z GFS introduces a chance for an earlier Potential Snowstorm on the 1=2nd of December.
As we always caution, use the models in long range more for clues then specifics as they could change from run to run ..However..if the 12 Z GFS were go come true the Mid Atlantic and parts of the NE could experience two major Snowstorms in less then a week!
Could this all be a sign that winter is going to hit hard and heavy & early? At least early in the sense of when Calendar winter begins?
While the 6 Z GFS lost the system..the latest 12 Z GFS brings the system back and it is slightly more off shore with the heaviest precipitation at this point and time offshore.
There seems to be something special and unique about the day December 5th but we will continue to monitor this situation as the time frame gets closer & perhaps we can have our first legit shot at a snowstorm before Calendar winter begins .
Tonight's GFS 00z Model in its long range shows the possibility of a low pressure system developing over the South central US and moving towards the Ohio Valley. While at the same time there is high pressure over the NE ..the model shows the storm transfers its energy to another coastal low and this could deliver a snow/ice event as currently depicted in many areas. This could end up being the first real event of the season but as usual its the long range so I am sure it will change between now and then but a period that should be carefully watched..
We will follow this on successive runs and see if the model continues to show this storm and what solutions it will show.
November 19th the high temperature was 46 degrees at KABE. This was actually three degrees below normal for this time of the year.
Today will be a mostly sunny day across majority of the region ..the exceptions to this would be parts of NY where they could see scattered showers as well as some snowshowers and then further north like Northern VT, NH and Maine could be dealing with some snow as well. By the end of the evening this will be mainly confined to Northern Maine but some leftover snowshowers still possible in the Northern Sections of VT & NH..
Temperatures will be in the 20s and 30s North with some teens in the highest elevations to the 40s further south and then from SNE into SC PA and south the temperatures will be mainly in the 50s.
Real Wx Services is pleased to announce the addition of Pro Met Larry Cosgrove to the R.W.S discussion forum! The forum can be found here…
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