Monday, March 8, 2010

Real Wx Services Looking For You!

If you are a weather enthusiast and have knowledge in Meteorology then we may have an offer for you!

Real Weather Services currently covers the Mid Atlantic & the Northeast due to limit in staffing size. Real Wx Services wants to change this and is looking to branch out to cover the whole United States of America. This means the following:

Real Wx Services needs a person to cover the Southeast!
Real Wx Services needs a person to cover the Midwest, Plains States...
Real Wx Services needs a person to cover the Southwest
Real Wx Services needs a person to cover the West and Pacific Northwest!

To qualify you must either have an account or create an account at accuweather forums! In addition, must have a passion for the weather and be able to read & analyze weather models such as the GFS,ECM,GGEM,UKMET & NAM. Absolutely no wishcasting will be tolerated. Prefer the individuals interested to be 18 & older.

If you are interested in either of these locations..drop me an email with your name. yahoo messenger ID and let me know what region you are interested in and what background/experience you have.

Email address is theweathergod2010@yahoo.com

Look forward to hearing from you!

Real Wx Services Plans & Moving Forward!

Just a little update to the readers of where Real Wx Services is heading! Over the summer time we are expecting traffic to the blog to increase as more weather enthusiasts are becoming aware of R.W.S . To help this goal be achieved ..Real Wx Services has ordered 250 business cards which will be going in prime targeted business locations.

Next up on the horizon will be Real Wx Service T Shirts which the plan is to have available sometime during the winter of 2010. These shirts will be quality material that are created at a discounted well known, established marketing company!

This is just the beginning! Stay tuned!

Flooding & Heavy Rains On The Way! March 11th 15th 2010


Low pressure currently over the Midwest is expected to stay relatively stationary thru the weekend. However.. embedded Shortwaves are going to rotate around the main area of low pressure and move across the region. This is going to result in heavy rains moving across the region. The heavier rains combined with snowpack further north is going to result in significant flooding potential across the region.
At this point and time Real Weather Services is issuing a Level 2 Alert for Heavy rains to effect the area. At this point and time it appears the hardest hit areas for rain will be the same areas that got hardest hit with snowfall this season!

At this point and time ...Real Wx Services is not expecting any thunderstorms as the air out ahead of the system is not much different then the air that will be coming in behind the system. Of course we will continue to monitor the situation, in case, any thunderstorms could occur.
At this point and time..Real Wx Services is not anticipating any snowfall except for potential across the higher elevations of the Northeast. However..even in those locations dominant precipitation type should be rain with just some backend snow showers possible across the higher elevations in the NE...
Stay Tuned for the latest information on the Northeast Flooding Potential!




With the expectation of the EL Nino continuing thru the summer..Once again looking towards a cooler summer for the first half...which would be followed by a warmer second half.. Also looking for wetter then normal precipitation wise from the Southeast into the Mid Atlantic and SNE areas..

Thursday, March 4, 2010

2010 Preliminary Hurricane Outlook


 Real Wx Services has started to look into the 2010 Hurricane Season and after discussion with Carlos whom is my major partner in R.W.S , We have decided that with the likely hood of having an El Nino around in some shape or format this summer this would lead to much lower tropical action. 

EL Ninos tend to create alot of dry air and also presents alot of shear across the Atlantic ocean. Also in El Nino the MJO has a more difficult time making it to this side of the Atlantic and when it does it is in shorter durations.

The area circled in red is what we generally expect to be the breeding ground for any storms that form and this once again would put the developing storms closer to the east coast so with that in mind we have any where from Florida up along the eastern seaboard as the areas that would be under the influence of any tropical storms or hurricanes that would form.

At this point and time the current thinking is leaning on the lower side of the spectrum with a total of 5-10 named storms  with 3 of them becoming major hurricanes. 

Again this is a preliminary outlook and will be fine tuned as we get closer to Hurricane season.






























Monday, March 1, 2010

Winter 2010-11 Outlook Released








Unless this winter of 2009-2010 ends up offering more winter storms that would create snow across the region this will generally be the last post on this particular blog and R.W.S will be switching over to the Spring/Summer Blog. 

So with that in mind this final post will deal with the next winter that will be approaching...


With the winter 2009-2010 coming to a close and probably one of the greatest winters for certain areas that they will remember for a long time to come.. Real Wx Services has turned there attention to Winter 2010-2011. With Real Wx Services there really is no break or rest in between as just before its ready to swing to a Spring Transition...Real Wx Services takes it a step above and beyond in the sake of trying to stay one step ahead and bring more accuracy to longer range forecasting.

The research I have done has led me to believe that we are going to be in another El nino next winter with the strength of Moderate to perhaps strong attainable.

We have discovered that a moderate to stronger El Nino in an overall cold PDO phase actually worked quite well for the mid atlantic area & my research is indicating that next year winter should be no different with similar results. This results in good news for the areas that had a record setting winter this current winter season and results in some not so good news for the Northern New England regions...


Weak El Ninos generally serve the New England region better then moderate el ninos but as we have learned all El Ninos are not typical either.

I used this chart above  last year...


Just to give a general idea for the KPHL region...

As normal I am not going to reveal the inner workings of how i come about to the conclusions that I do.
First will be temperature maps for Dec-Feb . I decided this year to do only those months as that is true Met Winter..

Look for further information as we get a little closer in time..Such as specifics for storm tracks etc..

Update on March 2nd-4th Storm System


I been pretty firm with the coastal basically staying south and east enough to not really effect the area. However..I think that there could be some rain/snow wintry mix to snow type scenario mainly associated with a mid level disturbance that may leave anywhere from a Trace to 2 inches across the region ..mainly dependent upon surface temps because with the coastal staying south and east of the region you will not have thermodynamics to work on at this point and time...
SNJ & LI & Cape Cod may be able to get under the western extent influence of this coastal and hence the potential for up to 3 inches there.
The majority of the systems snow will be to the SE over parts of VA into the Carolinas ..where here they will also start off as a rain/wintry mix but as 850s crash and temps crash and dynamics begin to take over i think some light to moderate accumulations are possible there.

Again, the system currently over the NE while it does start to lift out of the way it does not do so fast enough which does not allow heights to raise across the east coast. So we are mainly left with a system that will get to about CAPE Hatteras and begin to make its ENE movement from there...