Real Wx Services: Preliminary Severe Weather Outlook For Wed the 26th

Monday, May 24, 2010

Preliminary Severe Weather Outlook For Wed the 26th

Preliminary Severe Weather Outlook For Wed the 26th
CAPE: 1000-3500
LI -2 to -8 depending on location
Temperatures:
... high 80s to lower 90s
Dew points 65-70
Trigger: Back door
cold front dropping down from New England...
One hindrance to
severe weather is little to any bulk shear.
Best chances for
severe from South Central PA to SE PA into Northern Jersey and Southeast
NY

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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