Saturday, January 17, 2009

January 17-18th Clipper and Coastal Scenarios



Ok these are scenario only maps and not a forecast. However..I think they are the most likely scenario at the moment. Going with a blend of the GFS/GGEM/UKMET and ECM involved to some extent as it is nodding towards the GFS....

Again these are scenario maps and not an actual forecast


What I am expecting to happen is for the Vortmax currently in Canada to drop South and break off a piece of energy and head it SE thru the ohio Valley and form a secondary off the coast of southern NJ. Which will move NE ward up the coast.
Meanwhile as this is happening that same vortmax will drop down the outside of the trough and swing into the SE states tapping into GOM moisture and will round the base of the trough and head NE up the eastern seaboard...With cold arctic air in place i do not see temperatures being an issue for anywhere with the exception of extreme southern New England coastline ..If we get a track to the benchmark then they as well will be mainly snow....

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