Tuesday, June 22, 2010

June 22nd Severe Weather Potential

Severe weather outlook
Potential inhibitor to severe weather maybe cloud cover that is currently in place along with some showers that are starting to show up in parts of PA...
Dew points look to be in the 60s and temperatures look to be generally in the 80s across the region.
A warm front should be approaching the region but current surface map actually shows that front as stationary and stalled for the time being. Winds are currently coming out of the NNE at this point and time.
LI looking at the SREF seems to be around the -2 to -4 and CAPE looks to be around 500-1500
Lapse rates look to be around 6.0 to 6.5 and shear looks to be around 30-35 Knots...
I think the most concern is going to come in later tonight where the region could pick up a decent amount of rain between 1-2 inches.
Over all with looking at satellite and radar at the present time am not expecting anything to widespread. Main concern with any storms should be winds and heavy rains!

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