Real Wx Services: October 30th Weather Discussion

Friday, October 30, 2009

October 30th Weather Discussion

October 30th Weather Discussion

October 27th High temp @ KABE was 54 degrees
October 28th high temp @ KABE was 57 degrees
October 29th high temp @ KABE was 60 degrees

Tired of the Rain Yet?
I am sorry about not updating this on a daily basis but been rather sick with a combination of the Flu and quite possibly Pancreatitis....So if it is not updated that is why...
Today is going to be mainly a cloudy day across the region with a chance of showers to the North and west of the area. By evening time the rainfall will spread further to the east. A cold front is advancing towards the region and this will be responsible for the rainfall. Most areas though unless N & W will generally be rain free although some shower activity can not be ruled completely out.

Temperatures thru out the region will be in the lower 50s to lower 60s..

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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