Real Wx Services: November 2nd Weather Discussion

Sunday, November 1, 2009

November 2nd Weather Discussion

November 2nd Weather Discussion

Daytime high temp for KABE Oct 30th was 59 degrees
Daytime high temp for KABE on Oct 31st was 67 degrees

November 1st high temp at KABE was 55 degrees

Transient cold shot before we modify!

Today is going to be a rather pleasant day but also a rather chilly day. Chilly that is if you got use to those mild temperatures that were in place for a couple days. Today will be more seasonable compared to previous days with majority of the area under mostly sunny skies. Its possible that there could be some isolated showers along the extreme immediate east coast from NJ into SNE but i would put the chances at less then 10%...

Temperatures are going to be in the 40s in the state of Maine to the 50s elsewhere...

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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