Real Wx Services: November 4th Weather Discussion

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

November 4th Weather Discussion

November 4th Weather Discussion

November 3rd High temp @ KABE was 60 degrees

A Step Back Down!

Today is going to be a rather pleasant day across the region. Clouds will start to increase across the western regions later in the day and then spread eastward. For the most part though we will be under partly sunny skies.

By early evening clouds will thicken up and there will be a chance of some rain and snowshowers moving in across the region.

Temperatures today will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s from Maine into Interior NY, In SNE upper 40s to lower 50s and that will extend into interior PA. Low to mid 50s from SE PA and points southwards...

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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