Real Wx Services: November 27th Daily Weather Discussion

Friday, November 27, 2009

November 27th Daily Weather Discussion

November 27th Daily Weather Discussion

Are you ready for the Pattern Change? Prepare NOW!

November 26th High Temperature @ KABE was 54 degrees

We currently have an upper level low over the Great lakes with a low pressure off the coast of the Mid Atlantic with what could be another low pressure developing off the SNJ coast. So todays forecast is really going to be complicated and have to come down to nowcasting. We also have a cold front that is working thru the area that is starting to kick off some gusty winds. So its going to be a breezy day and its also going to be a wet and potentially white day over the higher terrain from Western and central PA northeast wards but I would not be surprised to see the rain mix with or end as some flakes of snow in places like East Central Pa and around NYC...

Temperatures will be in the 30s to 40s in Maine and in the 40s elsewheres...This is the first part of the pattern change that is coming. One step down...brief moderation before the STEP DOWN occurs.

I been talking about it for alot now & there is no doubt that it is coming and stay tuned here for the latest on the cold & potential snow possibilities that will come along with it!

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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