R,W,S Forecasts You Can Trust!

I think I need to take the time to make a post in regards to forecasting procedures with Real Weather Services. When R.W.S issues a forecast, a forecast discussion, a pattern discussion or anything talking about weather..it is a policy to use models as guidance and guidance alone. There will never be any such thing as looking at one operational run and basing a forecast off of that. Forecasts will be based on all operational model runs, of all models and all ensembles blended into the most likely scenario that is being driven and controlled via the teleconnections.

So many that discuss the weather and follow the weather do not understand that it is these teleconnections that drive the weather. They are responsible for the weather that occurs on a daily basis. You will always see this happening with R.W.S. It is a must know Basic 101 weather.
In addition.. Real Weather Services will never twist or distort historical records and data to feed any kind of agenda. If the historical records say that a certain year was an El Nino year then R.W.S will acknowledge that. Weather history is important because weather patterns have a habit of repeating themselves. It is kind of like when one was in high school and had history class you probably heard your teacher say that its important to know the history so that we do NOT repeat and make the same mistakes. History in school was very important for the future. In weather, past history is very relevant to the future weather.
Models are to be used as guidance and are to be used to hone in and tune in on patterns that are being suggested but those patterns have to and must be in line with the teleconnections are in place. For example, if an operational run is showing a ridge on the east coast and warm air in place...but the teleconnections are showing a -NAO + PNA and - EPO then you know that the operational run is in error. Pattern recognition is something that is very important to Real Weather Services. Pattern recognition with teleconnection observance can save yourself the emotional up and downs when viewing the different model runs.
Nowcasting. Nowcasting is something that is very important to Real Weather Services because no matter how much a particular model seems to have a storm in its range ..the sensible weather does not always follow what the model says it should. Satellite observations, surface observations, pressure falls, water vapor..In other words we feel that looking at what is happening "now" is a more accurate way of forecasting any storm systems.
Of course the biggest pet peeve with Real Weather Services is that we do not tolerate any wishcasting. We do not tolerate any bittercasting. You will never see Real Weather Services forecast there particular area for severe weather, more rain, or more snow unless that is what the guidance is suggesting happens. You will never see us issue a map that calls for 12 inches of snow when guidance is only suggesting 3 inches of snow. That is wishcasting at its finest. All maps and forecasts will be backed by guidance. All blog posts, all Accu weather posts will be backed by guidance, historical records, charts, indices etc.
The goal & aim of Real Weather Services is to provide forecasts that you can trust and forecasts that you can depend upon.
We also recognize that not everyone is on the same level of experience with forecasting the weather. So this is where K.I.S.S comes in place. Keep it Synoptically Simple. So those with less knowledge can learn and grow in there experience with weather.
We do also acknowledge that some of the above may not be agreed on by all readers. However...most readers know all the above and realize that we try to keep weather & forecast weather with as much reality as possible.
Thank you for taking the time to read this! Have a great day!