I still think the area is going to see a general light snow event out of this system. I pretty much stated from the beginning that I did not agree with JB on what he was seeing with this system. Saw the MRF and thought it gave some credence to the GFS with the wave coming out of the GOM and the NAM as well in the overnight hours.. I think there is some credence in these runs with that occurring..but the problem appears to be that the cold air that is coming in is just too "overbearing" for any type of storm to really get its act together. Because there is no SW flow as the country is relatively being overtaken by a NW flow with cold air this is going to mean that the GOM essentially is shut down.
So essentially what this means is that any moisture that comes from this system is going to have to be produced by this system itself...So basically this looks to me like a piece of energy that will transfer energy to around the Delmarva and produce a weak area of low pressure that will not be able to tap into enough moisture and then move East Northeastwards.. Generally looking at a T-2 inch scenario with perhaps 1-3/2-4 in western PA....When i have a bit more time I will issue a map for this as a first call..
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