Real Wx Services: Winter Weather Advisory

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Winter Weather Advisory

Time 2 PM EST

Date: 1/6/2010

Effective: 1/7/2010 7 PM EST to 1 PM EST 1/8/2010

Low pressure currently over the southwest will continue to organize and track off to the east and eventually to the NE. This low pressure area will pass over the region with its ULL and then proceed off the coast around the SNJ to Delmarva area. Light snow will break out ahead of this approaching low pressure area. With temperatures on the cold side..the snow will start to accumulate immediately. Snow ratios will be on the range of 15:1-20:1 . At this time a light snowfall is expected with 2-4 inches across SE PA into east Central Pa and 1-3 into NE PA and 2-4 into NW and Central NJ.

The winter weather advisory covers all of SE PA into east central PA to NE PA into NW NJ.

A Winter Weather Advisory means that snow/sleet/ freezing rain is expected and travel conditions could become hazardous.

Stay tuned for any further statements, watches or warnings!

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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