January 24th 2010
Time: 2:09 AM
Real Weather Services is issuing a special Weather Alert statement for a potential snowstorm for the time frame of January 29th to January 31st. A system currently now moving thru the great lakes region will send a cold front thru the region during the day on monday! This system and its cold front becomes the pattern changer and will set the stage for much colder weather in the wakes of a system coming out of the GOM and the SE States.
The January 24th 2010 foreign models agree with the synoptic set up and essentially on the track of the area of low pressure. This area of low pressure will encounter blocking due to a Bermuda High on its eastern side and will want to take the path of least resistance. With a high pressure North of NY State..this will mean the path of the low will be between that High pressure to the North and the high pressure creating the blocking in the atlantic to the east. This would send a low pressure system over the Gulf Stream roughly 50-100 miles off the east coast moving up towards the benchmark. Whether this rides directly over the benchmark or slightly to the east or west is not clear yet.
The January 24th 00z ECM showed a SECS/MECS from DC to Boston.
While this in no means is a scenario set in stone..the ECM is one of the best models there is at the day 6 time frame. So when the ECM suggests the potential for a SECS/MECS..Real Weather Services has to acknowledge that potential scenario.
Real Weather Services believes that this storm as we get closer in time could trend stronger and increase QPF across the region.
Stay Tuned for further updates on this situation!
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