Friday, March 19, 2010

March 19th Southeast Weather Outlook

SE weather

Low pressure is currently developing over the south central United states and will continue to push off to the east south east and form a surface low over Arkansas. This will be a slow moving system with a cold front extending south that will cross the region sunday evening.

This area of low pressure should be across eastern Kentucky by monday morning. From there this low pressure will generally move east north east and off the SNJ Coast before moving ENE along the Northeast coast.

This low pressure and its associated frontal system will bring showers and thunderstorms across the region which will result in widespread rain totals of .50-1.25 inches.

Severe weather parameters at this point are not all that impressive with poor lapse rates and Cape levels. And with the rain will create a stable atmosphere as far as severe weather.

So at this point and time with marginal conditions i think the best chances for anything severe would be along the coast of the carolinas extending into Florida. Potential strong gusty winds would be the most likely aspect of severe weather.

Any areas that do experience thunderstorms can end up with isolated higher rain totals.

Real Wx Services is not expecting any snowfall accumulations across the higher elevations as this will be a primarily rain system. However..there is a possibility that as colder air comes in behind the front that there could be some snowflakes in the highest elevations but pretty much feel that by that time this were to occur that the precipitation will be already thru the region.

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