Real Wx Services: First Tropical Storm of the Season -Andrea

Thursday, June 6, 2013

First Tropical Storm of the Season -Andrea

We mentioned in our Tropical Hurricane Outlook that we thought that the east coast would be in more play this season with the Tropical Storms and Hurricanes and the first one does not disappoint for being only the first week of June...

Current radar shows heavy rains, some tornado warned cells and this rain will be moving up along the eastern seaboard as Andrea moves off to the Northeast.

Rainfall expected by WPC over the next 72 hours...

Our track and impacts that Andrea should have on the east coast as it moves up and along the coast..

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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