Tuesday, July 23, 2013

July 23rd Severe Weather Outlook

A cold front is dropping thru the central part of the country and this cold front could bring severe weather along its boundary. At the very least there will be heavy rain associated with this cold front.
Presently some very heavy rain is falling across the PA area with some non severe thunderstorms as well. However..tomorrow we think there will be a wind potential along with the possibility of a tornado or two and we will highlight where we think that could happen..
Lets start with the temperatures which will be in the 70s to 90s depending on where you are located ...but as has been the case the dew points will be on the sticky side 
With the dps being in the 60s and 70s so that will make it feel more hot then what the actual air temperature is.
When we look at the Convective Available Potential Energy we see some pretty high numbers with the CAPE going all the way to 5000-6000 in a small isolated area..but never the less quite high elsewhere as well.
Lift index is also going to be quite negative showing plenty of lift in the atmosphere with numbers of -8 to negative 12 over a large area..
Wind shear will be in place from about 30 knots to as much as 60 knots across the region..
With the SWEAT index as high as what it is showing into Kanas & Missouri and parts of ARK (Northern) this is the region where there could be a tornado or two to occur ...
Also the EHI is highest over Kansas..
So with the severe weather parameters in place .. we are highlighting the following region...
Again the main threats are going to be damaging winds but some tornado's are possible in the areas mentioned above... 

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