Severe Potential July 19th 2013

The cold front that we mentioned yesterday is continuing to move its way towards the south and east and this is the position it is expected to be in by 8 AM early morning friday.  This is also the cold front that we anticipate will serve as a trigger for severe storms as it moves to the south and east.  Yesterday the CAP ended up being a little stronger then anticipated while there was severe there was nothing in the way of Major severe or no tornados had occurred despite the parameters that were in place.
Today will continue to be a hot and humid day and it should be the day where the heat "peaks". Temperatures once again will be in the 80s and the 90s....with the dewpoints in the 60s and 70s..

Where the temperatures are in the 90s with the dewpoints in the 70s the heat indexes will be between 100-105 degrees.

Convective Available Potential energy is anywhere from 1000 to as high as 4000 .

Lift in the atmosphere is as low as negative 8...

NAM shows the greatest SWEAT being across the Northeast part of the country along with MI and Wisconsin..

EHI is highest over Maine... and the greatest shear still lies across the northern tier into MAINE as well..

We think that today will be mainly a wind threat however with high SWEAT showing up over parts of the NE and high EHI showing up over parts of Maine we would not rule out an isolated tornado in those locations. Also a chance of a tornado or two in Lower MI...

Despite the chance of severe weather we think that the biggest story to draw the attention will be the continuation of the heat and humidity. Once again we urge all our readers in this hot and humid air mass to drink plenty of liquids and wear light , loose colored clothing....Stay safe and stay indoors in the AC if at all possible!