Real Wx Services: July 25th Weather Discussion SE Ridge is coming into the picture :)

Friday, July 24, 2009

July 25th Weather Discussion SE Ridge is coming into the picture :)

July 25th Weather Discussion
SE Ridge is coming into the picture :)

Well if you like summer weather..today is going to make you feel like you are at home, at least from Southern New England across to NY and southwards. The weather should be mainly sunny skies with an outside chance at a diurnally driven T storm or isolated shower across the east to a more concentrated chance of diurnally driven thunderstorms across the west..Southwest flow will rule the day and humidity will start to climb...
Temperatures we are looking at upper 60s to upper 70s across the state of Maine...from there it climbs.Interior NY upper 70s to mid 80s...Southern New England low to mid 80s to upper 80s near NYC..perhaps flirting with 90 degrees. To the south of there into PA and NJ ..mid 80s to lower 90s..across western PA..low to mid 80s. To the south of PA..HOT is the word with temps in the low to mid 90s. Once again with air quality alerts across the region and any outdoor activity please make sure you have something to drink on you at all times! Otherwise...enjoy the heat! Why not hit the pool?
July 24th High temperature @ KABE was 81 degrees

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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