Pattern update as of 5:10 PM the 27th of July.

Pattern update as of 5:10 PM the 27th of July...

At least the next ten days I am expecting the Central Atlantic Ridge to continue to influence the weather. While at the same time the mean trough will continue to keep residence from the Great Lakes to Hudson Bay in Canada. 
Essentially, if you are along the east coast or slightly inland you will be the areas to continue to feel the effects of the CAR. Weather will continue to be of the summer like type pattern with temperatures seasonal to slightly above normal and diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. Areas closer to the mean trough will be more succeptible to the cooler then normal temperatures. 

Now after this...models are hinting that some of the cooler air could make more inroads into the area..and the TZT could be re established. Main model showing this is the GFS which brings in a negative EPO ridge which once again establishes the trough along the east coast. 
At this point and time I believe the GFS is suffering from feedback errors. Instead i think what is more likely is that the mean trough will stay over the Great Lakes region..however..might move a bit to the east in about 10 days..give or take a day...
The teleconnections do not show the EPO going majorly negative but rather to about 0.5...this is borderline neutral before expected to go back to neutral once again...
The PNA while positive now is expected to go neutral as well and the NAO is neutral thru the period. So to me this tells me that essentially things should stay status quo but with the EPO shifting slightly towards the negative ..the central ridge will probably shift to the west some and allow the mean trough to somewhat shift east....