Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Severe Weather Potential July 29th 2009


A cold front will be advancing towards the region. This cold front will be approaching Ohio by about 2 PM tomorrow afternoon and be close to the region on thursday. This cold front will then stall out across the region. Meanwhile the mean trough is going to be situated over the Great Lakes region. Due to the circulation around this low pressure..mid level impulses will continue to rotate across the region.  One such impulse with be attending the cold front and another impulse will develop around or about washington DC area. This impulse will bring the potential for heavier rains tomorrow evening. Before the heavy rains move in to the region..we will be dealing with thunderstorms that will break out ahead of and also along the advancing cold front. Temperatures across the area tomorrow will be in the 80-90 degree range and dewpoints will be running high with them in the mid 60s to the lower 70s range...

Looking at the severe weather Parameters in place for tomorrow...

CAPE VALUES will be in the range of 1000-2500 depending on your location. 

LI (Lift Index) will be in the range of -2 to - 6 depending on your location

0-6 KM shear will be between 35-45 Knots

Helicity will be between 175 and 250 depending on location....

With all the above mentioned the map above has been created.The main severe weather threats will be winds 60 MPH or greater winds..potential for hail and the potential for an isolated tornado or two as well. 

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