One potential concern for tomorrow will be how much convective cloud cover debris will be left over from the activity that is ongoing now and will continue to move thru the region in the overnight. The way it appears at the moment..I believe most of the cloudiness should be out of the southern extent of the region by about 12Z tomorrow..though i would like to see it out before that point and time.
Things we have going for us...
We have a very sultry, moist, muggy air mass in place with dewpoints already at th 65-70 range across the southern areas.
Temperatures in the 80-90 range...
We have CAPE ranging, depending on your location, from 1000 to about 3000
We have Lift Index ranging from -2 to -6, again, depending on location..
We have Lapse Rates of 6.0-6.5
Shear of 35-45 Knots
Probably the most important aspect of the picture tomorrow is the cold front that will be approaching the region tomorrow night which will act as a trigger. Also being under the right entrance region of the upper level jet will enhance convective development.
Overall expecting the day to be pretty active with some cells capable of reaching supercell potential especially over SE PA into NYC. Large Hail. Damaging winds and will not rule out some isolated tornados.
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