There has been alot of talk about a tropical storm brewing off of the Carolinas and moving up the coast. This statement is not anywhere even close to being accurate..as what we have is an upper level low in which, remnants of former tropical waves have converged together to form a developing low pressure system..
The above map is more or less based on the SREF...
The latest SREF when i looked at it was not all that impressed with rainfall totals even along the extreme east. This was the 15 Z run... and just glancing at the 21 Z run it is also not that impressive with rainfall totals from this event...
The 00z NAM has actually more or less come around to the SREF and what it has been showing since its 15 Z run. I did not look at it prior to this run, so can not say whether or not the SREF was different before 15 Z..
With that said.. when looking at the enhanced infrared satellite picture that the center appears to be quite the distance off shore moving at this point and time in a northerly direction..
The direction this low takes should keep the heaviest of the precipitation out over the open waters.
No comments:
Post a Comment