Day # 2 Of Severe Weather With Latest Outbreak!

The same complex frontal system that brought the severe weather to areas of the midwest yesterday and its associated trough will be responsible for another day of severe weather . Matter of fact this system will be responsible for at least two more days of severe in addition to today Sunday the 19th. 
Once again we have several factors that will be in play and come together to help create this severe weather day. We have a warm unstable air mass out ahead of the cold front and trough..

Temperatures are in the 80s and the 90s across the region of concern. Dew points will also be high with them in the 60s and 70s..

The next ingredient which is like striking a match to a stick of dynamite is the CAPE or the Convective Available Potential Energy..

Levels once again are as high as 3000-4000 ..Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that the shear is actually going to be greater today then yesterday ..

With shear ranging from 40 to as much as 80 knots. Plenty of lift will also be available in the atmosphere..

And once again , perhaps more concerning is that the Energy Helicity Index is on the high side , well above 1 across a good portion of the area..

This in combination with all the other ingredients in place suggest that Tornados could be possible across Eastern OK , Eastern Kansas, virtually all of Missouri and Central Iowa. If we were to place a moderate risk this is the area where we were to place it. 
We are expecting all modes of severe weather today from Damaging winds to Large Hail to Tornado's mentioned in the places above.
From all the guidance we have looked at it appears as though TX will once again be under a CAP but we have included them just in case the CAP were to break with the high instability in place. 
With all the severe parameters out of the way this is the outlooked area we have highlighted for today Sunday the 19th..

This area will be moving East , East Northeast over the next two days.... 

Once again if you are in the path of any tornado take shelter immediately and please do not try and chase the storm unless you are an experienced storm chaser. This is how lives are lost in severe weather events & heed all warnings! 

ABOVE ALL BE SAFE!