Outbreak Occurred On Wednesday -What about Thursday?

An outbreak occurred on Wednesday and not just some small limited area as some professional agencies were originally talking about. This is why we do not give forecasts until 24 hrs or less before the event because this certainly proved to NOT be a small limited area. 

So will Thursday be like wednesday or will it tone down some? This is going to depend on where you live and reside. 

Lets look at what should be current conditions for the afternoon and the evening ..

A cold front is going to be marching east across the central part of the Nation with a low pressure over the Dakotas region and a low back near the OK panhandle region where it turns into a warm front. All the action today is going to be out ahead of this cold front and slowly pressing to the east where a ridge has kind of set up shop and will be providing temperatures near if not in the 90s

So lets take a look at the parameters that will be in place for today. We think compared to yesterday today will be toned down with the exception of maybe in Central and Eastern OK. This is where we feel will have the best chance for Tornado's 

Though if you look at the EHI you will see above 1 going north and Northeast from OK which means supercells are possible and with the EHI tornadic activity could occur anywhere in that green area. 

CAPE is very widespread with 1000+ up depending on where you reside...

There is also plenty of lift across the region as well...

Highest SWEAT index is in OK to Kansas... 

Helicity is also elevated in pretty much the same areas as we mentioned above with the EHI..

Its going to be a muggy day out there with the dewpoints in the 60s and 70s across the region.

Wind shear will be at least 30 to as much as 50 knots which is sufficient for severe weather.

Looking at the ECM you can essentially see why there is such a broad area for severe weather but once again we think the worst will be across OK and KS as far as tornado potential is concerned. If you are outside these regions the main threats will be strong gusty winds and Large Hail...

We will be here to follow this situation all day today ..however we do not see this day being as bad as yesterday was with as many over all reports.