Severe Weather Potential...
As we are always trying to strive and improve here with the way we do things we have actually three areas designated...
A. The gray area will always represent low risk for winds and Hail
B. The red zone indicates all three severe aspects of winds & hail & Tornado's
C. The checkered area equals the greatest risk for tornado's
In reference to C..this is because the EHI in those locations is well above 1..
In reference to B..While there may be tornado's in this zone they will be more isolated compared to the location above in the checkered zone..The main threat in the red zone would be the hail and winds..
Now lets look at severe parameters in addition to the EHI
CAPE about 500-2000 depending where you are...
LI meaning Lift Index is only to negative 4
Lapse Rates 6.5 or above
Shear 35 knots +
Current Surface analysis as of 03 Z
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif (time sensitive)
Low pressure located over SE Colorado as of 6 Z this morning with a stationary front attached to it. This stationary front will move thru as a warm front across TX. Trailing also from that low pressure area is a cold front to the SW.
By 18 Z the low pressure will begin to lift towards the NE and a dry line will be located from N to south across the Ok/TX panhandle continuing south to off the coast of TX to another area of low pressure.
For those that may not be familiar we take each severe event one day at a time. There are many out there that are hyping talking about a Major Tornado outbreak...While there are the possibility of tornado's today...A major outbreak at this point and time is not anticipated..
However..if you live in an area where Tornado's are possible you want to keep an eye to the sky and your ear tuned into your favorite weather source.
We here at Down To Earth will be around today till 6 AM and then from about 1 PM till 6 AM for coverage and to consult those with questions and or who may need assistance with fears etc..
We provide this service for free & to our knowledge we are the only ones who PROVIDE this service! We are here for you!
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