Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Severe Potential April 11 2012

severe

CAPE 500-2000
Lift Index 0 to -8 depending where you are located..
Temperature will be in the 80s
Dew Points in the 50s-60s range
Shear 35 knots + which will be increasing in the over night period..
Mid Level Lapse rates 6.5 +

EHI is pretty much on the low side but we think with the location of the dryline where it will be located (NM mountains) and the shear increasing overnight that the location east of there could have some potential for tornado's. Though its not a high risk with EHI being below 1.

Low pressure over NE New Mexico with a stationary front trailing south south east which then turns into a cold front across the SE which then turns up the east coast to a low pressure off the Mid Atlantic Coast.  It is once again this frontal feature that will be responsible for severe weather.

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