As most people know who follow this blog.. Real Wx Services will never issue a forecast unless it has model support. By model support that means that it must have consensus with the models in happening. If there is not consensus on the models between operational and or ensembles then Real Wx Services will not forecast a storm to happen across a region. It must be supported by guidance if not it is wishcasting! That is something we do not tolerate! The reason i created R.W.S in the first place.
For example..today the 12 Z GFS showed a system effecting the NE with a snow event. However..its own ensembles did not agree and neither did any of the other major global models. Real Wx Services will never issue a forecast based on one model and one run. That is called Modelology and not Meteorology!
Real Wx Services serves a public audience and feels responsible to put across the most accurate information provided by guidance and teleconnections at the current time in question!
We will not change the way we forecast because that is what makes us different!
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