Accuweather Are they for Real? Is This Any Different From Normal?

Those who follow this blog know that Real Wx Services had started posting about and talking about a potential snowstorm around the December 5-7th time frame. We have been talking about this from as early as November 19th already so this is really nothing new on the weather horizon.

We also tell people that forecasting in the long range is alot more difficult because models and there solutions will change and that we should not actually pay too much attention to details past day 5 but rather just pick up clues from the synoptic weather patterns they are showing. None of this is anything new.

So here we still have the potential for a snowstorm on December 5th –7th time frame which is now no longer long range but the medium range.

Latest models show the following scenarios..

ECMWF

GFS

Now as you can see both models have a storm on there synoptic charts. On the ECM the –NAO is west based and the blocking is so strong that it suppresses and shears out the system. Its really a SW flow event that pops a secondary off the coast of Hatteras and then that goes out to sea.

The GFS has a similar situation but pops a secondary further north and does bring some precipitation into the area but its also a weak storm.

Now the above is the latest data and situation on the storm potential. And we continue to use the word potential because it is still beyond the 5 day period.

However…I just got done reading the funniest thing ever online from a Pro Met from Accuweather..They just posted a blog .

By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist

Nov 26, 2010; 2:35 PM ET

And from the blog posted is the following:

There are three possibilities as we see it now: 1) It will happen, bringing one of the biggest snowstorms of the winter. 2) It won't happen and could be just plain old sunny and dry. Or, 3) A storm forms, but is too far off the coast to bring snow, or tracks too far to the west and brings rain.

Are they for real? I mean, are these not always the possibilities when it comes to winter storms? Was this really blog worthy at this point when they basically throw the process of using a dart board to analyze the potential?

This is why Real Wx Services makes a difference…we show you the potential and then when it gets closer to the potential we will show you why this storm could happen & if not explain why it will not happen.