Real Wx Services: December 7th Weather Discussion

Sunday, December 7, 2008

December 7th Weather Discussion

December 7th Weather Discussion
It was a nice little snow event that we received yesterday and today we should continue along the pattern of mostly cloudy skies with snowshowers scattered across the region in PA and NJ. Its possible that as the cold front crosses the region that we could have some heavier squalls that could leave additional light accumulations. Further North into the NE around Maine and Southern NE coast they should recieve steadier precipitation. Look for winds to increase thru out the day and for the day to be quite cold. Winds could gust as high as 30-40 MPH with the passage of the front. So any snow that would fall would be blowing as well.
Temperatures look to be in the low to mid 30s from East central PA into NJ. Southern New England Coast in the mid and upper 30s. Interior regions of PA mid 20s to around 30..Mountainous areas in the teens. Interior regions of NY Mid to Upper 20s. To the south of PA...mid 30s to lower 40s and the Mountains of WV might not make it out of the single digits..All and all bundle up and enjoy the weather!

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Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
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Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

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