Wednesday, July 13, 2011

July 14th Severe Weather Outlook

714

Currently there is a low pressure system along the carolina coast line and a stationary front draped west to east to a low pressure system over Northern Alabama and then that stationary front runs NW into a low pressure over Montana and another one over Canada.

Multiple pieces of energy are also over the rockies and these impulses will start lifting NE and the stationary front out west will start to move North as a warm front while over the southeast it remains stationary.

This front in the southeast will be responsible for the potential for severe weather and heavy rains .

A very moist southwest flow is in place thanks to a upper level ridge across the central united states.

Severe Parameters :

Shear of 35-50 knots across the region

CAPE from 500-5000 depending on where you live

Lift index is 0 to –8 depending on where you live

Hail and damaging winds appear to be the primary threats for tomorrow however a tornado can not be ruled out!

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