Friday, July 15, 2011

July 16th Severe Weather Outlook

716

Stationary front continues to be draped across the southeast with a low pressure over the florida panhandle. Low pressure over SE Colorado connected to a warm front which is associated or connected to the stationary front.

Multiple pieces of energy over the Dakotas & Montana with a cold front.

It will be these features that will continue to bring the chance of severe weather to the regions highlighted above with a very warm humid air mass in place thanks to an upper level ridge across the region.

CAPE values will be as high as 4000

Shear between 40-50 knots which is more then ample for severe thunderstorms.

Lift index will be 0 to –10 across the area..

Mid level lapse rates go from 5.5 to 8 depending where you are in the zone above.

All and all we think that the storms should begin to develop towards evening and this would be more of an evening threat for the potential of large hail and strong damaging winds.

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