As we have been talking about for some time now..winter is returning and snow is returning depending on where you reside. Low pressure which is forming over the Midwest is going to be moving towards the East and then Southeast. A second wave is expected to form along the frontal boundary and this wave should generally take a track similar to wave # 1 . The two waves combined will provide Wintery Weather across a good part of the region with wave # 1 greatest accumulations of snow will be from east central PA into NW NJ and then west wards into Northern and North Central PA and then into NY as well..
Basically this is a tricky forecast and has high bust potential because we are dealing with a SE ridge and a Arctic High to the NW. With over running events the precipitation can sometimes be faster then modeled and if this occurs ..presently there is some milder air still in place…which means that this could start off as liquid even in the areas with the higher snow totals which could cut down on the totals…If this occurs we believe it would be the lower end of the ranges that would come about in the end.
For wave 2…this should mainly effect east central PA and points south ..and this is expected because the cold air should be pressing south which would press the boundary further to the south. However..if this cold press to the south is not as strong as expected then the second wave would end up being further north ..so things will still have to be monitored for the second wave. The snow in SE PA , SNJ and DE would come from the second wave.
So with all the above said this is the current thinking at this point and time.. Remember any deviance of the track north or south would effect these totals and this is combined for wave #1 and wave # 2.
Stay tuned for further information!
No comments:
Post a Comment