Real Wx Services: May 24th Severe Weather Outlook

Temperatures are in the 50s to 80s depending on where you are located...http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_TMPF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png...DEWPOINTS.. are in the 50s to 60s depending on where you are located: http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_DPTF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png...CAPE or INSTABILITY 500-3500 depending where you are located..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_CAPE_SURFACE.png ...EHI is above 1 into parts of Wisconsin..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_EHI_1000_M.png ...LIFT INDEX is 0 to about -8 ..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_PLI_30_0_MB_ABOVE_GROUND.png... HELICITY is about 200-250 ..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_HLCY_1000_M_ABOVE_GROUND_0_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png ...SHEAR is the most impressive with up to 80 knots of shear in some parts of the region..http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/05/24/00/NAM_221_2012052400_F24_SHRM_500_MB.png ...At the surface..http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/91fwbgus.gif ..a cold front will be slowly lifting eastwards ..also a piece of energy will be lifting NE thru Iowa and towards southern Canada. ..With the EHI above 1 super cells are possible and also with the Helicity around 200-250 in the same location as the EHI we are going to put a 5% tornado chance into the Wisconsin area.. Other wise the main threats will be winds and large hail along with heavy rain!

Down to Earth Forecasting-What's The Difference?

Down to Earth Forecasting is a concept that I have created. Its a concept that bases forecasts of the weather on actual analysis of the weather models, patterns, signals, analogs etc. It does not tolerate wishcasting or hypecasting. Its goal is to provide forecasts that are 100% honest as well as, forecasts that are as close to accurate as possible!
We believe that if you teach others how to read weather models, how to pick up on weather patterns and the basic concepts of weather..that you can actually do away with wishcasting and hypecasting and have all forecasts based on REALITY!

Down to Earth Forecasting History & Team!

Down to Earth Forecasting was a concept that was originally called Bringing Weather Back To Reality! This concept basically implied that everywhere I went there was too much forecasting of what people wished for etc in there back yard. If the weather models called for 4 inches , people would be calling for a Blizzard! This type of forecasting is actually called wishcasting and is something that I have never been able to tolerate as a weather hobbyist. So i came up with the name of Bringing Weather Back to Reality which meant that I believed in making forecasts that were based on sound analysis of all weather parameters involved. I then decided the name was too long and hence changed BWBTR to Real Weather Services or R.W.S & the most recent change to Down To Earth Forecasting which we think is more suitable!

Down To Earth Forecasting will issue special weather statements when conditions and time permit for all types of weather from winter weather to summer weather and you will find that when we issue a statement it is always in ADVANCE of the NWS. This is something that we take pride in! Getting the word to our readers first and promptly.

Down To Earth Forecasting consists of Kevin Quigley & Rick Boucher & Creator and owner Matt Strouse. These three individuals make up Down To Earth Forecasting and one day will be a household name

Thursday, May 24, 2012

May 24th Severe Weather Outlook

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