July 27th Severe Weather Outlook..

July 27th Severe Weather Outlook..
We want to start this off by saying that today is not going to compare to yesterday as far as severe weather is concerned. Two cold fronts will be moving across the east and while this is occurring the trough that is settling into that region will begin to amplify. It is these frontal systems along with an impulse of energy that will be moving thru the lakes into the Ohio Valley that will bring a chance of severe weather into that region and the southeast. These threats will only be winds and hail in these regions. Out west .. an upper trough will be moving inland into the West coast and this will serve as the trigger in that region.
Temperatures across the severe zone (eastern zone) as well as majority of the central part of the USA are going to be in the 80s to 90s..
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/07/27/00/NAM_221_2012072700_F18_TMPF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png
Dew points will be mainly in the 60s (cooler across the western zone)
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/07/27/00/NAM_221_2012072700_F18_DPTF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png
Convective Available Potential Energy will be between 500 and 3000 depending on where you reside..
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/07/27/00/NAM_221_2012072700_F24_CAPE_SURFACE.png
Lift Index will be about 0 to negative 6 once again depending on where you are located..
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/07/27/00/NAM_221_2012072700_F24_PLI_30_0_MB_ABOVE_GROUND.png
The greatest shear will be across the area we have stretched out in the central plains region where it will be 30-50 knots..elsewhere it is about 25-40 knots
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/07/27/00/NAM_221_2012072700_F24_SHRM_500_MB.png
The NAM has the greatest EHI from parts of Ohio stretching south southwest thru Central KY to and thru Western TN and south from there. We think the NAM is over doing this however there could be an isolated tornado into Ohio..
For the most part today will be a calmer day then yesterday which resulted in widespread severe reports.
Any storms will contain very heavy rains! Our thoughts go out to those families that were effected by yesterdays storms.
As a forecaster , and a storm chaser you like to see the severe weather so you can capture it on film but you hate to see any suffering or actual damage done to properties. As always keep an eye to the sky and enjoy the weather cause you can do nothing to change it anyway!