The above is the latest image of invest 99 L. At this point and time the NHC has still not called this a depression and a little confused as to why. In this season past they called worse looking systems depressions and even Tropical storms.
Regardless, satellite shows that the pressure has come down to 1008 from 1009 and that the wind speed is 30 KT. This typically would be classified as a depression and if they do not classify soon..there could be a chance that it might not get classified..
There is alot of talk going around the internet about this becoming Richard and not just that but perhaps a hurricane and I have even seen some mention of a major hurricane. As of right now I am not seeing major hurricane status and there is a question as to whether this can become richard..
So lets take a look at the environment and see what 99 L is dealing with.
In short the environment as far as shear, convergence and divergence and vorticity is concerned looks quite decent. Shear is light, anticyclone in its vicinity , convergence decent, best divergence is NE but it still is in a zone of divergence and it is in the greatest vorticity zone. So overall that is a decent environment for development.
However..lets look at some more images..
Dry air..I talked about the dry air heading towards the system as it is relatively stationary. This was dry air from the NW and you can see its approaching the system.
However..this loop above also shows dry air approaching from the east which between the two areas of dry air are beginning to act as a squeeze play and this could end up having a negative effect on any development. The system is still relatively stationary and only drifting.
We will see what effect the dry air has on this developing system and continue to monitor and update when necessary! We still feel that this has been a depression since last night despite recognition by the NHC..
No comments:
Post a Comment