Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Invest 99 L ..This should be a depression now!

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We here at R.W.S at the time of this writing 1:30 AM feel that invest 99 L is currently a tropical depression. Pressure however remains around 1009 mbs but the winds are currently at 30 KT. Its quite possible that National Hurricane Center declares this a depression as this is being typed.

Conditions remain quite favorable for development with an anticylone practically on top of this system. Low shear..decent convergence and divergence as of 3 AM and it has gotten clear from any land interaction.

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However..we also have two concerns at present that we need to see how they come into play. While this may be a depression if you look off to the NW you see a wall of dry air heading towards this system. Now..this might not become an issue..however the second concern is that this system is basically stationary but that dry air is advancing towards that stationary system.

So these concerns tie into one another and we will have to watch and see how this progresses as to whether or not this can actually become Richard!

Stay tuned for more updates thruout the next couple days!

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