Just looking at severe parameters off the latest guidance this is looking like it could be another big outbreak across the region and into some of the same areas that just got hit hard… Anyone in these regions that takes photos of the severe weather ..feel free to send them to me and I will post them on the blog for you..
So lets get to it…
CAPE 500-1000 is actually the lowest and its around the perimeter of the zone you are looking at above. The majority of the region is in 1500-3000 with some isolated pockets up to 3500.
LIFT iNDEX –2 to –10
SWEAT INDEX as high as 500 in areas such as ILLINOIS then in a line that goes southwest and thru central ARK and continuing SW thru the state of TX..
EHI from about Central ILLINOIS to Hopkinsville, KY south thru Central TN into NW Alabama westward across Northern Mississippi , all of ARK into Eastern Half of Ok northwards covering the central to southern half of Missouri is at 2.0 or above.
The above area mentioned for the EHI looks like it could be the area that ends up being the best zone for the severe weather. Never the less we are talking about a widespread area if the guidance is correct in its depiction of severe weather.
Now, not everyone in this area highlighted will get severe weather but this is the zone that as of now which is still 48 hrs or so away has the greatest potential based on the severe parameters.
This looks like it could be another significant Tornado outbreak.
The culprit responsible for this will be a shortwave trough and a deepening area of low pressure and a attending cold front making its way eastwards.
As mentioned above this looks like it has some good potential so if you are anywhere with in this area you are going to want to pay attention to the guidance thru the next 36-48 hrs.
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