We would first like to start this off by offering our thoughts and prayers to the families down south that have lost loved ones over the past couple days. Today was an EPIC outbreak and currently we stand at 138 tornado reports on the day. The outbreak of 1974 had a total of 148 . Being that SPC takes the day until 12 Z or 8 AM ..there is only 11 more reports needed to surpass the Super Outbreak of 1974. Alabama was hit extremely hard and we can only hope for a speedy recovery!
With all that to the side we need to turn attention to today the 28th. While there is still some severe weather going across Western Ohio that should be winding down shortly. So our outlook for today does not include that area.
As of 00z the cold front was still quite well to the west. This map is a few hours old and should be updated shortly but for all intents and purposes the cold front has been slow to move and has not really made much progress East since 18 Z yesterday or 2 PM.
Updated image as of 03 Z shows little progress has been made..
Current radar shows the MCS moving off towards the Northeast and you can see where the severe weather is still occurring ..
In addition to the severe weather that will occur today ..very heavy rain will also result in flooding problems across the viewing area from PA into parts of NY state as well as Eastern Ohio.
We feel the area in Red will be at the greatest risk for severe weather today. This area will also have the greatest wind and tornado threat. While the tornado threat still exists currently to the west of this area..that area will be pushing east with time. This region is highlighted due to the severe parameters with guidance as of 00z. We have completely disregarded the GFS for this outlook as it was not in harmony with the NAM/ or the SREF.
Storms will once again include the potential for tornados as well as winds in excess of 65 MPH and the possibility of large hail as well. If you are in any of these areas please stay tuned to your local weather source for the latest information!
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