Sunday, December 12, 2010

Shades of 2009-2010 Part 2?

Tonights operational ECM while developing and phasing the PJ and STJ at 168 and taking on a negative tilt at the 500 mb level..it failed to produce a surface low closer to the coast but was instead about 350 miles off the coast. With what happened in the 500 mb level that indeed would not be the case when it came to the surface reflection. So we will turn to the means and we see a very strong signal for 168-192 hours out with a storm off the coast and also much closer to the coast.

00zecmwfens850mbTSLPNA168

00zecmwfens850mbTSLPNA192

With the blocking that we are projected and all guidance agrees on and the negative NAO and the negative AO..this would fall as the next threat on the table ..and is it any coincidence that this is also the same time frame that NYC got their first major snowstorm in 2009-2010 winter..
If this indeed happens then it is further evidence of shades of 2009-2010

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