Thursday, July 22, 2010

Another Invest-98 L (A Race Against Time)

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Not going to go into to much detail on this invest above but if you go to the  GOM water vapor loop (click to your left) and click the little box at the top that says fronts and you will see how close this is getting to land. So this is very much a race against time..

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The ASCAT pass above showed that this indeed has a LLC, unlike 97 ASCAT passes but what was still lacking was a westerly wind and without that you do not have a closed low.

This invest is in a more favorable environment then what 97 L is with less shear (5-10 knots) in an area of good convergence, decent divergence and its vorticity while a little elongated is much more bundled then 97 L.

Chances of this becoming a TD in the next 24 hours is 60 % but not quite sure if it will have enough time to get any higher then that…

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