First and foremost we are going to be changing sites and this site is going to become inactive. Probably by the end of this month. After May this site will no longer be used.
The new site is going to be here
Brand New Real Wx Service Site
You will easily see where it says blog as the latest entry is on the front page as well as the tab at the top :)
We pretty much figure by June 1st the members that followed this blog will have had enough time to make the transition to the new site and i think you ALL will feel its a much better place and a positive step in a positive direction to serve each and everyone of our members better!
With that said lets move on to the severe weather potential for Thursday.
Severe Weather Parameters in place
CAPE 500-5000 depending on where you are located
Lift Index 0 to - 12 depending on where you are located
SWEAT index is 400-500
Energy Helicity Index is only about 1.5 and that is basically over part of Tx.
Weather Synopsis
An upper level low associated with a trough will continue to press off to the ESE .
Meanwhile at the surface there is an area of low pressure over western KS and a cold front trails from that low pressure towards the SW. Then a semi stationary front extends NE to another area of low pressure over SW Wisconsin.
This low pressure over Western KS will lift off to the NE while another area of low pressure forms along the front by 12 Z (8am thurs) over western OK. Extending from this low will be a cold front and this will serve as a trigger for severe weather once again in the Tx region.
By friday 12 Z (8am) this cold front will have sunk south ending the severe threat across the Tx area and the unsettled weather will be pushing into the Southeast.
Further NE into western PA ..the low pressure that was over SW Wisconsin will lift somewhat north before moving east and a warm front will develop from this low and push into the region. This warm front will provide a push of southerly flow into Western PA and this may serve as a trigger for severe thunderstorms.
Areas further to the southeast in the second part of the severe zone above will be more of a scattered variety and will be diurnally driven meaning , develop due to the daytime heating and the warm front that will be pushing across the region. Main threats in these areas will be hail and winds.
Overall severe threat today will be winds and hails with an isolated tornado threat ..owing to the fact that EHI is quite low across the areas.
Stay tuned for more information
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