We have decided to leave the map is for the most part with the exception of two things:
1. We have included a small portion of western PA in the severe zone. The reason for this is that the NAM has now increased EHI to 1.5 across that part of the state. SWEAT however still remains low. The main threats in that region should still be hail and wind damage but we will not rule out an isolated tornado.
2. We have made the red zone a isolated potential zone. In other words the parameters are not the greatest across the region but with the warm front moving thru it could trigger off some severe weather.
Our main disagreement ATM with Severe Weather Prediction Center is them having the slight risk too far to the east. A couple reasons why we disagree with it ..If you look to the satellite image above, You will see the clouds are pretty well entrenched across areas of E PA into the northeast. This area also remains on the eastern side or the cooler side of the slowly moving warm front . So, at the present time we feel that if any severe weather were to occur it would be isolated.
Stay tuned for further updates should they become necessary
No comments:
Post a Comment